Each week we publish every 09:00 initial balance read on COMEX gold, at both the 30 and the 60 minute window, and score them: which rail the tables favoured, which one price actually reached, and what happened on the days the indicator declined to call at all.
One row per week, newest first. Ten windows a week, five at each duration.
| What price did next | Atlas score | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week | Windows | Rail reached | Favoured rail | 🧲 Atlas mode | ✅ / ❌ / ∅ | 30m / 60m agreed |
| w/c 14 September 2026 | 10 | 7 / 10 | 5 / 7 | 1 | 1 / 0 / 0 | 2 / 5 |
| w/c 7 September 2026 | 10 | 9 / 10 | 5 / 9 | 5 | 3 / 2 / 0 | 4 / 5 |
| w/c 31 August 2026 | 10 | 5 / 10 | 4 / 5 | 8 | 3 / 1 / 4 | 4 / 5 |
| w/c 24 August 2026 | 10 | 9 / 10 | 4 / 9 | 6 | 2 / 3 / 1 | 2 / 5 |
| w/c 17 August 2026 | 10 | 9 / 10 | 6 / 9 | 5 | 3 / 1 / 1 | 2 / 5 |
| w/c 10 August 2026 | 10 | 8 / 10 | 6 / 8 | 5 | 4 / 1 / 0 | 2 / 5 |
| Since 10 August 2026 | 60 | 47 / 60 | 30 / 47 | 30 | 16 / 8 / 6 | 16 / 30 |
This is a running tally over a small number of windows, published as it accumulates. It is not a performance record and not a return: no entries, exits, position sizing or costs are modelled anywhere on these pages.
The indicator ranks all 89 window and duration cells on a Window strength row. Reading that row from the top is a trap, and the size of the trap is measurable.
| Window (60m) | Favoured rail win | No target hit | Resolves | Target, 2025-26 | Atlas gate fires | Calls landed per week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 69.4% | 32.8% | 67.2% | 11.3 pt | 71.3% | 2.6 |
| 09:30 | 67.9% | 45.3% | 54.7% | 12.0 pt | 53.5% | 2.1 |
| 10:00 | 69.8% | 45.5% | 54.5% | 10.1 pt | 61.6% | 2.3 |
| 10:30 | 70.4% | 43.7% | 56.3% | 8.8 pt | 74.8% | 2.8 |
| 11:30 | 69.4% | 37.4% | 62.6% | 7.0 pt | 70.7% | 2.6 |
| 15:30 top of the ranking | 85.3% | 87.1% | 12.9% | 4.5 pt | 0.0% | none |
Measured across 117,133 gold races from 2015 to 2026, cross-fitted so that no window is graded on the table it helped build. Favoured rail win is the share of resolved races where the larger directional share was the rail price reached first. The 15:30 row is the point of the table: it tops the entire ranking at 85.3%, and it gets there by resolving on one day in eight, so that only the races already sitting next to a rail ever finish. Across all 44 sixty-minute cells the correlation between a window's no-target-hit share and its win rate is +0.95. Nearly all of what looks like strength is selection.
09:30 is gold's busiest hour and we did not choose it. It packs more range into its box than any other window on the clock. But in this indicator the box is the target: a wider box pushes both rails further out, so the denser hour resolves on 55% of days against 09:00's 67%, and its gate fires on 54% against 71%. Density picks the box, resolution picks the trade, and they do not agree here.
10:30 beats 09:00 on the headline number. It wins the favoured rail 70.4% of the time against 69.4%, and lands marginally more calls per week. It also leaves 44% of days unresolved against 33%, on a target a fifth smaller. We publish 09:00 because it resolves most often on the largest target, and we would rather show the window that gives you the most decided days than the one with the prettiest percentage.
Every chart on these pages is the indicator as it renders live, with nothing added and nothing removed.
Newest first.
The quietest gold week published here. Nine of the ten windows abstained, against a previous high of five, and the mean stated favourite was 39, the lowest of the six weeks. The single Atlas call, Monday's half hour at 63 / 28 / 9, took the upper rail on the 11:30 bar. Seven of ten reached a rail and all three that reached nothing were 60 minute windows. No box on the week was expanded on the table's ruler, a first in six weeks, and Auto moved from a half multiple on Monday to a full one from Tuesday with no setting touched. Wednesday's 60 minute lower rail, reached on the 14:10 bar, is the only result on the page inside a news window.
Read the week →The third gold week to come in at nine of ten, with the one miss a 1.7 point gap on a Labor Day session that shut at 14:30. Atlas mode fired five times and landed three: Wednesday's 81 per cent long call, the joint strongest lean the gold tables have shown, took the lower rail instead, and Thursday's hour repeated a 46 per cent cell and fell all afternoon. Four cells repeated and three of the four resolved differently from their earlier draw. Both of Friday's CPI morning windows abstained, on different gates, and both lower rails went.
Read the week →All five 30 minute windows reached a rail by the 09:55 bar and Atlas mode landed three of the four it called there. All five hours reached neither rail by the 16:55 close, three of them stopping about three points under the upper one, including both draws of the same 72 / 12 / 16 cell. NFP expanded Friday's hour to a 70 point box, the widest on the record, and the ladder cut it to a quarter.
Read the week →The first gold week on which Atlas mode missed more than it landed: three magnet-and-cross marks in a row, Tuesday's 81% short call at a quarter multiple and the same 24 / 44 / 32 hour cell fired short on Tuesday and Thursday, all three going up. Friday's two calls paid, the hour's on the first bar after the box. Four repeat cells, and the record on repeats is now mixed on purpose.
Read the week →Three more repeat cells, one of which split: the 23 / 50 / 27 short call paid on Tuesday inside a minute of the box closing and was wrong on Thursday. The ladder cut both of Wednesday's expanded boxes to a quarter and both long calls paid before the FOMC minutes were anywhere near. Monday's hour was the only window to reach neither rail, a 46% lean that stopped five points short.
Read the week →Three of the ten windows returned a forecast the indicator had already given earlier in the week, to the percentage point and out of the same sample. Two of those pairs resolved in opposite directions, which is the clearest thing a week of this size can show about what a 53% call actually means. CPI day expanded both boxes and the ladder cut the multiplier to a quarter, where the short call paid.
Read the week →Published at the end of the trading week.