Each week we publish every US AM session Atlas Sessions (GC) read, captured twice: once at the open, when the tables state what they expect, and once at the close, when the outcome is settled. Right calls, wrong calls, and the sessions that split the difference.
One row per week, newest first. Three scores, because the indicator makes three separable claims about a session. Click a week to read it in full.
| Week | Sessions | First sweep | Modal branch | Levels taken | Stated P(take) | Realised | Inside sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| w/c 14 September 2026 | 5 | 5 / 5 | 5 / 5 | 5 / 10 | 50% | 50% | 0 |
| w/c 7 September 2026 | 5 | 4 / 5 | 2 / 5 | 6 / 10 | 54% | 60% | 1 |
| w/c 31 August 2026 | 5 | 4 / 5 | 4 / 5 | 5 / 10 | 55% | 50% | 0 |
| w/c 24 August 2026 | 5 | 2 / 5 | 2 / 5 | 6 / 10 | 47% | 60% | 0 |
| w/c 17 August 2026 | 5 | 4 / 5 | 2 / 5 | 8 / 10 | 54% | 80% | 0 |
| w/c 10 August 2026 | 5 | 4 / 5 | 3 / 5 | 6 / 10 | 48% | 60% | 0 |
| Since 10 August 2026 | 30 | 23 / 30 | 18 / 30 | 36 / 60 | 51% | 60% | 1 |
This is a running tally over a small number of sessions, published as it accumulates. It is not a performance record and not a return: no entries, exits, position sizing or costs are modelled anywhere on these pages. The place to judge calibration remains the indicator's own realised versus expected row, running on your own chart over your own history.
Atlas Sessions (GC) reads all four gold sessions. These reviews fix on one, and the reason is measured rather than inherited from the NQ work.
| Session | Clock | Minutes | Share of minutes | Share of range | Range concentration |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia (SGE) | 18:00 ET to 13:30 CST | 449 | 32.6% | 20.3% | 0.62× |
| Eurasia | 13:30 CST to 08:00 ET | 389 | 28.3% | 27.3% | 0.97× |
| US AM | 08:00 to 11:30 ET | 209 | 15.2% | 35.0% | 2.30× |
| US PM | 11:30 to 17:00 ET | 329 | 23.9% | 22.5% | 0.94× |
Measured over 9,984 gold session instances from 2015 to 2026. Range concentration is a session's share of range divided by its share of minutes, so 1.00 means a session covers exactly its proportional amount of ground and nothing more. Eurasia at 0.97 and US PM at 0.94 landing either side of 1.00 is a useful check that the method is not manufacturing the result. Ranges are expressed in ATR rather than points throughout, because gold's own range has grown roughly tenfold across this history and raw points cannot be compared across it. Gold needs three clocks, not one: the Asia and Eurasia boundary is set in Shanghai time, which has no daylight saving, so it moves against the New York clock twice a year.
Eurasia forecasts better than US AM, and we still chose US AM. On calibrated forecast skill Eurasia beats it on every measure we ran, landing the modal branch 60.1% of the time against 54.1%. But that is a symptom of Eurasia being a quieter session rather than of the indicator working better there: with 32% less range reaching levels that sit at much the same distance, more of Eurasia's outcomes are settled by geometry alone, which is easier to predict and less useful to trade. Ranking sessions by how predictable they are systematically rewards the ones where little happens.
Asia is gaining ground and we are watching it. Gold's price discovery has been migrating east for years, and Asia's share of range has climbed about five points since 2015 to 18, the only one of the four that is rising. It still has not overtaken anything: per minute it remains the least dense session of the four, and it earns its share by running for 449 minutes rather than by being busy. If that changes, this page changes with it.
Every chart on these pages is the indicator as it renders live, with nothing added and nothing removed.
Newest first.
The first time the gold tables have gone five from five on both calls; the best weeks before this one read 4 of 5 on each. Every morning took exactly one side, three the high and two the low, which is not itself a first: w/c 31 August was the mirror image, three low and two high, and still scored 4 of 5 on both, so a one-sided week is what a perfect modal week needs on this record rather than enough on its own. The stated marginals also separated cleanly for the first time, every taken level at 59, ~65, 72, 77 or 81 percent and every untaken one at 11, 12, ~32, 43 or 51, on ten events; the tildes are Tuesday's, whose cell carries the study's era flag. Levels still went only five of ten, joint lowest with w/c 31 August, and Tuesday's high was crossed by six tenths of a point.
Read the week →Monday's US AM took neither Eurasia level, the first inside session in twenty-five gold sessions, finishing 4.6 points under the high and 4.4 above the low on a branch rated 7%; the NQ book printed an inside session the same morning on a table that rated inside at 0%. With no level reached there is no first sweep to call, so the week's one first-sweep miss is a miss by construction: on the four days that swept anything the called side went first every time. The modal branch landed twice, Tuesday and Thursday; of the three misses, Monday took neither level and the other two were the called side going with company. Friday ran 112 points on a 30.2 point Eurasia, close to four times the range the levels were drawn from, with both levels gone by 08:40.
Read the week →Four first sweeps and four modal branches from five, the best modal week gold had produced at the time, and the one miss was Monday's double miss on the era-flagged cell, drawn for the third time in four weeks and resolving a third different way. Tuesday's 82.1 point Eurasia, the widest of the record, put 97% on the low and it went at ~08:30. Wednesday and Thursday drew the same cell on consecutive mornings and both took the high on the 08:00 bar itself. Levels went five of ten against a mean stated 55%, the first gold week under the stated rate, leaving the four-week record at twenty-five of forty against 51%.
Read the week →The third gold week on record and the weakest so far: two first sweeps from five, with all three misses on calls of 64 to 70%, and two modal branches from five. Three cells repeated from earlier weeks, and one of them resolved exactly as it had the first time, Thursday going low only against the same 70% call on the high. Friday rated inside at 33%, the highest the gold record has shown, and instead took the high at ~09:55 and the low at ~10:05 either side of the Warsh speech, on a both-sides share of 4%. Levels went six of ten against a mean stated 47%, more often than stated for the third week running.
Read the week →Three of five mornings took both levels on a branch the tables rated between 13 and 29%, which leaves both sides at four from ten over two gold weeks against a mean rating near 13%. The one first-sweep miss was a 65% call on the narrowest Eurasia of the record. Two tables repeated from the week before, one resolved the same way and one did not, and Friday's 97% call went at 11:25 with the inside branch five minutes from landing.
Read the week →The first gold week on record. Four of five first sweeps called correctly and three of five modal branches, with both of the modal misses falling on the two mornings carrying an 8:30 inflation release. Wednesday took its high five minutes before CPI printed and its low on the release itself, which is not a branch any table rates highly. Nothing stayed inside all week, on a set of forecasts that expected it on up to 29% of mornings.
Read the week →Published at the end of the trading week.